Recent Ancestral Origins
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Recent Ancestral Origins

Family Tree DNA provides an account service that automatically generates a list of matches with other people in the FTDNA database that show the Ancestral country of origin each user reported when they created their account. 

Each list of matches is broken down into three section using marker groups.  In these section, matches showing the same country of origin are summed and the number of people in that origin is displayed as a total. 

FTDNA's grouped origin list matches people who have tested 12, 25 and 37-markers.  With each marker count section, it also splits the listing to show people who were a perfect match, a genetic distance of 0, a match where only 1-marker didn't match, a genetic distance of -1, etc.  In the 12-marker listing, it only shows matches up to a genetic distance of -2.  In the 25-marker section it shows matches for a genetic distance from 0 to -3 and in the 37-marker section it shows matches from 0 to a genetic distance of -4.  There will soon be a section for people who match on 67-markers and that will be added to the information when it appears.

By separating the listing by the number of markers used in the comparison, it is possible to get a feel for the general scope of the paths of the common ancestor's off-spring from a more distant time to a more current time frame.  For example, there are a lot of matches in the 12-marker comparison, but unless the person has the same surname as you do, then it should be considered the common ancestor you shared was a real long time ago.  Maybe even a thousand plus years ago.  As the number of markers tested increases and the genetic distance to another person drops to -1 or 0, that information can be a good predictor of when you shared a common ancestor and will probably be less than a 1,000 years.   While the genetic distance on the larger marker matches are more than 0, the results by origin can only be a general predictor of where your ancestors were before coming to where you are now.

This last perspective is how I've used the information.  In the table shown below, I've grouped origin locations like, London, England, Wales, Shetland, Scotland, British Isles into a region named England.  I didn't include Ireland in that grouping because the number of matches for Ireland were significant.  Scotland almost met that requirement, but for this pass I included it in England because Scotland doesn't show up in the 37-marker matches.

With country of origin grouped into sections, it can be seen that the number of matches that were generated show a definite concentration around the area of England, and Ireland, with lesser matches in Europe and Scandinavia.  Regions where the number of matches were insignificant, were excluded for clarity.

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Recent Ancestral Origin Region Matches
Geographic
People in DB
% of Group
Genetic
Markers
Region
Matched
Matches
Distance
Tested
England
272
57.90%
0
12
Europe
82
17.40%
0
12
Ireland
86
18.30%
0
12
Scandinavia
16
3.40%
0
12
Totals
456
97%
0
12
England
1448
57.60%
-1
12
Europe
541
21.50%
-1
12
Ireland
391
15.60%
-1
12
Scandinavia
54
2.10%
-1
12
Totals
2462
98%
-1
12
England
2765
53.70%
-2
12
Europe
1138
22.10%
-2
12
Ireland
938
18.20%
-2
12
Scandinavia
129
2.50%
-2
12
Totals
4970
97%
-2
12
England
2
16.70%
-1
25
Ireland
10
83.30%
-1
25
Totals
12
100%
-1
25
England
8
28.60%
-2
25
Ireland
20
71.40%
-2
25
Totals
28
100%
-2
25
England
8
38.10%
-3
25
Ireland
13
61.90%
-3
25
Totals
21
100%
-3
25
England
1
50.00%
-3
37
Totals
1
100%
-3
37
Ireland
1
50.00%
-4
37
Totals
1
100%
-4
37

While this table give me a general indication of where my ancestors lived prior to their arrival in America, there aren't enough people in the database yet so that the 37-marker matches can reach a statistical amount sufficient to make strong assertions about country of origin from just this information alone. 

This ability to make assertions gets stronger when the genetic matches begin to fall within some of the genetic project marker ranges.   An example of how this begins to work out is covered here:  Y-Search Matches

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Last modified: Wednesday, November 15, 2006 01:29:26 PM